Saturday:
1. Bundesliga:
Mainz- Freiburg: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10
Two of the worst teams in the league right now, but somebody has to get points here. i just have no idea who..the under looks much better:
Mainz has not scored in 410 min and Freiburg has not scored in 408 min. i expect somebody to score today, but definetely not often.
München- Bremen: Bremen +0.5,+1 @ 1.943 and Over 2.5,3 goals @ 1.909
Game of the day today: Both teams in top-form coming of convincing cup-wins during the week and with ECL games coming up. i simply dont see much between them. Home advantage is not that big as Bremen has not lost in last 4 years at München, so they know that they can win there. i am looking for a draw here, or maybe even a bremen win, as bremen can focus much more on Bundesliga now than München, after their 0-3 home loss to lyon.
The over looks good as here are two offensive teams. bremen will not hold back and between these two there are always goals..3 should be the minimum we will see.
Bochum- Schalke: Schalke -0.5 @2.0
Schalke is head to head with München at the top and the clearly better team. they have not lost in Bochum in last 4 years. Bochum is deeply into relegation struggle and got lately some hope back with a couple of solid home games, but only against bottom team..last week they lost again 0-4 at bremen in a terrible performance. if you look for a reason, why the line in this missmatch is 2.0 it's simple: it's a local derby. both teams and stadions are just 10 min away from each other... but that will also lead to strong support from the away-fans.
Regionalliga Nord:
Bremen (A)- Braunschweig: Braunschweig to win @1.909
Braunschweig is the top team in the league and this is not really an away game today. Bremen is not too far away from Braunschweig and there is the expectation of so many braunschweig- supporters that the game was shifted to the big Weserstadion of Werder Bremen's Bundesliga team. Go with the stronger team here and the strong fan-support.
Not much more value to find in today's german games, but being selective is also good.
BOL to all.
1. Bundesliga:
Mainz- Freiburg: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10
Two of the worst teams in the league right now, but somebody has to get points here. i just have no idea who..the under looks much better:
Mainz has not scored in 410 min and Freiburg has not scored in 408 min. i expect somebody to score today, but definetely not often.
München- Bremen: Bremen +0.5,+1 @ 1.943 and Over 2.5,3 goals @ 1.909
Game of the day today: Both teams in top-form coming of convincing cup-wins during the week and with ECL games coming up. i simply dont see much between them. Home advantage is not that big as Bremen has not lost in last 4 years at München, so they know that they can win there. i am looking for a draw here, or maybe even a bremen win, as bremen can focus much more on Bundesliga now than München, after their 0-3 home loss to lyon.
The over looks good as here are two offensive teams. bremen will not hold back and between these two there are always goals..3 should be the minimum we will see.
Bochum- Schalke: Schalke -0.5 @2.0
Schalke is head to head with München at the top and the clearly better team. they have not lost in Bochum in last 4 years. Bochum is deeply into relegation struggle and got lately some hope back with a couple of solid home games, but only against bottom team..last week they lost again 0-4 at bremen in a terrible performance. if you look for a reason, why the line in this missmatch is 2.0 it's simple: it's a local derby. both teams and stadions are just 10 min away from each other... but that will also lead to strong support from the away-fans.
Regionalliga Nord:
Bremen (A)- Braunschweig: Braunschweig to win @1.909
Braunschweig is the top team in the league and this is not really an away game today. Bremen is not too far away from Braunschweig and there is the expectation of so many braunschweig- supporters that the game was shifted to the big Weserstadion of Werder Bremen's Bundesliga team. Go with the stronger team here and the strong fan-support.
Not much more value to find in today's german games, but being selective is also good.
BOL to all.
Not a good saturday, only schalke came through as easy winner.
Sunday:
1. Bundesliga:
Nürnberg- Dortmund: Dortmund pk @ 2.03
Nürnberg slumping big time right now, loosing even 5 home games in a row and has big injury problems (3rd goalie has to play today). Dortmund is playing solid football lately, only thing today is that Koller is out, but it should still be at least the draw.
2. Bundesliga:
Big card here for today:
Frankfurt- Essen: Under 2.5, 3 @1.862 and Essen +1 @ 1.95
Both teams solid on defense. the side on essen is just a feeling that they will step up today in fight against relegation and make it a close game.
Cottbus- Fürth: Over 2.5 @ 2.0
Fürth scores a lot and conceides a lot..looking for the same here today
Erfurt- Unterhaching: Unterhaching pk,+0.5 @ 1.80
Wrong team favorite here. Erfurt is the worst team in league, but is coming of a surprise away win last week after changing the coach. they will come down to earth.Unterhaching plays solid lately and is dangerous in away games, should be able to get points here.
Trier- AUe: Aue +0.5 @1.84
Trier is srong at home , but aue is oone of the hottest teams in league right now. they are the better team and to make Trier an outright fav here only for the home advantage is too much.
I have leanings toward Fürth and Oberhausen, but waiting on better lines..right now they are no plays, but i might add them later.
BOL to all
Sunday:
1. Bundesliga:
Nürnberg- Dortmund: Dortmund pk @ 2.03
Nürnberg slumping big time right now, loosing even 5 home games in a row and has big injury problems (3rd goalie has to play today). Dortmund is playing solid football lately, only thing today is that Koller is out, but it should still be at least the draw.
2. Bundesliga:
Big card here for today:
Frankfurt- Essen: Under 2.5, 3 @1.862 and Essen +1 @ 1.95
Both teams solid on defense. the side on essen is just a feeling that they will step up today in fight against relegation and make it a close game.
Cottbus- Fürth: Over 2.5 @ 2.0
Fürth scores a lot and conceides a lot..looking for the same here today
Erfurt- Unterhaching: Unterhaching pk,+0.5 @ 1.80
Wrong team favorite here. Erfurt is the worst team in league, but is coming of a surprise away win last week after changing the coach. they will come down to earth.Unterhaching plays solid lately and is dangerous in away games, should be able to get points here.
Trier- AUe: Aue +0.5 @1.84
Trier is srong at home , but aue is oone of the hottest teams in league right now. they are the better team and to make Trier an outright fav here only for the home advantage is too much.
I have leanings toward Fürth and Oberhausen, but waiting on better lines..right now they are no plays, but i might add them later.
BOL to all
for the over 2.5 you have to lay some wood as the line is actually 2.5,3.
compared to a play on the side on Köln at -1,-1.5 i see it like:
if köln does not win it will probably a 1-1 draw (so it's under), if they win a close one you might loose your total on a 1-0 and loose your half bet on the 2.5,3, while you are loosing only half your bet on the side..if köln wins easy by 2 or more you would win your side, but you can still loose your total.
conclusion is: if you like köln at least not to loose and you dont expect a crazy game, like 2-2, 3-2 or something like that..you are better taking the -1,-1.5 on the side.
compared to a play on the side on Köln at -1,-1.5 i see it like:
if köln does not win it will probably a 1-1 draw (so it's under), if they win a close one you might loose your total on a 1-0 and loose your half bet on the 2.5,3, while you are loosing only half your bet on the side..if köln wins easy by 2 or more you would win your side, but you can still loose your total.
conclusion is: if you like köln at least not to loose and you dont expect a crazy game, like 2-2, 3-2 or something like that..you are better taking the -1,-1.5 on the side.
arty:
